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AI AnalysisClassification & Focus Areas
"Wind and solar power forecasting with multi-model NWP ensembles and SCADA — uncertainty flagging helps avoid imbalance for traders and asset operators."
Domain Affinity
Technology Breakdown
Offerings Products & Services
Wind & Solar Power Production Forecasts
Short-mid-term power production forecasts using multiple weather models, in-house models, SCADA data, and machine learning techniques. Predicts power output from 5 minutes to 10 days ahead at high time resolution for single units, parks, portfolios, or regions.
MetOcean Platform
MetOcean services platform providing weather, wave, and current forecasts up to 10 days ahead with graphic presentations, weather window forecasts, automated email warnings, and a hindcasting system with over 23 years of data.
Portfolio Analyzer
Cloud-based system that uses high-resolution weather data and empirical power curves to simulate hourly output of wind and solar assets over 23-year time spans, enabling assessment of project value, market stress scenarios, and competitive analysis.
Weather Forecast Services
Onshore weather forecasts up to 10 days ahead with multiple weather parameters, using 3-4 NWP models, and includes hindcast data dating back to 2000 for site assessment.
Icing Forecasting
Cloud-based icing forecasting solution that predicts icing events and their probability, as well as expected power losses due to icing, helping energy players avoid higher balancing costs.
Case StudiesReferences & Success Stories
Exploring Offshore Wind Wakes: A High-Pressure Phenomenon
Captured via satellite, extraordinary wind wakes from German offshore wind farms extended over 150 km downstream due to a stable high-pressure system. ConWX simulations at 1000-meter resolution show lee effects reducing wind speed by 2-3 m/s, impacting production forecasts.
ConWX Partners with Pexapark to Boost Valuation Accuracy in Renewable Energy Investment
Partnership with Pexapark combines ConWX's portfolio analyzer asset data with Pexapark's price reference platform to improve renewable energy asset valuations and optimize PPA structures. Enables users to estimate power output and identify PPA prices for new assets.
Weather Analytics for Energy Risks in the Insurance and Reinsurance Industry
Describes how ConWX's hindcast data and weather analytics help insurers and reinsurers assess risks from weather variability for solar and wind energy projects. Enables tailored coverage, parametric insurance products, and better management of financial exposure to extreme weather events.
Uncertainty Flagging Analysis
ConWX analysis of 40 wind farms with total capacity over 1.4 GW using uncertainty flagging to identify potential forecast errors. The flags successfully indicated overprediction 73% of the time and underprediction 71% of the time, enabling better trading decisions.
Data Driven Modelling of Icing Events and Power Loss for Wind Parks
Presentation of machine learning models for icing event detection and power loss prediction, achieving improvements in F1 scores compared to previous models. Addresses challenges of imbalanced data and plans to develop probabilistic forecasts for parks without SCADA data.